Google’s digital ad sales continued to show healthy growth during the holiday season, yet concerns about the future profitability of its significant investment in artificial intelligence (AI) remain a source of investor anxiety. Despite posting strong earnings in the final quarter of 2024, Google parent company Alphabet Inc. faces growing skepticism over whether its AI ventures will deliver the returns originally anticipated.
The company’s October-December results, released on Tuesday, revealed that Alphabet had earned $26.5 billion, or $2.15 per share, marking a 28% increase from the same period the previous year. Total revenue rose 12% year-over-year to reach $96.5 billion. While Alphabet’s earnings exceeded analyst expectations of $2.13 per share, its revenue fell slightly short of projections, as reported by FactSet Research.
A key concern, however, was the revenue growth from Google Cloud, a division closely tied to AI, which failed to meet analysts’ optimistic forecasts. This underperformance in a high-profile growth area led to a more than 8% decline in Alphabet’s stock price after the earnings release, reversing a recent rally that had driven the company’s shares to an all-time high earlier in the trading session.
“The reaction underscores concerns that rivals like Microsoft, with its partnership with OpenAI, are better positioned to capitalize on AI’s potential to generate revenue,” explained Jesse Cohen, an analyst with Investing.com.
In contrast to the cloud division’s disappointing performance, Google’s advertising business saw solid growth. The company reported an 11% increase in ad sales year-over-year, reaching $72.5 billion, which surpassed analyst expectations. Google’s integration of AI-generated content in its search results, which provides users with more immediate information, has been cited as a contributing factor in driving this ad revenue growth.
Jim Yu, CEO of BrightEdge, a company specializing in search engine optimization, stated, “The early signs suggest that AI is working for Google. It allows Google to keep more of the digital experience within its search engine, ensuring that when users are sent to other websites, they are further along in their journey. This makes those visitors more valuable to advertisers.”
However, despite these positive trends in advertising, Google’s substantial investments in AI have raised concerns among some investors. While AI holds great promise, a recent breakthrough by the Chinese startup DeepSeek, which successfully deployed similar technology at a fraction of the cost, has further fueled doubts about Google’s ability to maintain its competitive edge in this space. Alphabet has indicated that its AI expansion will significantly increase its capital expenditure, from $60 billion last year to an expected $75 billion this year.
During a conference call with investors, CEO Sundar Pichai sought to reassure stakeholders by emphasizing that AI is already proving to be a valuable asset for Google. “The company is in a great rhythm and cadence, building, testing, and launching products faster than ever before,” Pichai said, highlighting the growing impact of AI on the company’s operations.
In addition to its AI-related challenges, Alphabet is contending with regulatory issues. A federal judge ruled last year that Google’s search engine constitutes an illegal monopoly, which could lead to potential legal and structural changes. The ruling has sparked discussions about the possibility of forcing Google to divest its Chrome web browser, and court hearings on this matter are scheduled to begin in April, with a decision expected by autumn.
Furthermore, the company is facing pressure to dismantle the protections it has around its Play Store for Android apps. This decision is currently on hold as Google appeals the ruling. Alphabet is also awaiting a decision in a high-stakes antitrust trial in Virginia, which centers on the technology behind its digital advertising network.
As Google navigates these multiple challenges—AI investment questions, regulatory scrutiny, and the evolving competitive landscape—it remains to be seen whether its strategies will succeed in driving sustainable growth and maintaining investor confidence.